recovery

A New Year Resolution

As 2011 winds down, there are only a few things we can know for sure. One of those things is that the real estate market will continue to be a major topic of concern and conversation in 2012. With a growth in consumer confidence in November, continued low interest rates, and a slight increase in activity in the market this December, there is more than a glimmer of hope that the new year will finally (finally!) bring some welcome relief to housing which will aid the economic recovery.

So, with that hope in mind, here are a series of questions you might ask yourself this New Year’s Eve to help you decide if 2012 is the year that you should buy a home.

How long do you anticipate being in Baltimore?

The average American homeowner stays in their home 5-7 years. If you think that because of your job, education, or family life that you will not be in the region for a minimum of 3 years, then perhaps renting makes more sense for you. If, however, you don’t foresee a relocation within that timeframe, then you should definitely consider buying over renting.

Where do you want to live?

If you love the popular neighborhoods within walking distance to the Inner Harbor, Fells Point, O’Donnell Square, the Can Company, or other regional attractions, then you will be paying top dollar to rent. Of the 41 rental apartments listed in those areas on October 31, the average rent was $2,000 per month.  Most landlords will require that you provide a first and last month’s rent, pet deposit (if you own a small pet), fees for the Realtor® and for your credit report(s). You could easily be writing checks for more than $4,500 just to secure that prime rental you want. A $2,000 monthly rent means you will also be paying your landlord $24,000 without having any equity, and no housing-related tax deductions on your Federal income tax return.

What life changes may happen during that time: will you marry? Have children?

Nobody has a crystal ball, but most first-time buyers are considering the purchase for specific reasons. Perhaps they feel that they have reached a point in their lives where they want to start a family. Some may be far from settling down in the marital sense, but have had a landlord raise the rent every year and want some kind of security in their home. There are too many motivations to list, so what is the impulse in your life that is making you consider this move? Most likely you anticipate a change in lifestyle that will impact your daily routine for a few years. How much living space will that require? What other amenities would you want? Can you see that new life taking place in a home that someone else owns?

How long have you been in your job, and do you feel secure in it?

One of the most common reasons that first-time buyers have been hesitating to enter the housing market is uncertainty over the depth of the economic downturn, and whether their job is secure. Certainly if you work for a new start-up company, or if you have only been in your job a few months, this economy might not be too kind to your source of income. Buying a home might not make sense.
But in this region, there are a fair number of institutions and agencies of government — state, local and Federal — that provide stable, secure employment year after year. If you are in that situation, then you are in a prime position to capitalize on this most affordable housing market.

Do you believe that home prices in this region have stabilized?

Statistics for the Baltimore-Washington metro areas say “yes, they have.” It appears that we have hit a rough bottom that will bounce around a bit, but there isn’t any significant price depreciation at this time. Our inventory of homes for sale is decreasing, and the number of transactions are beginning to slowly increase. With supply falling and demand beginning to move up, basic economics would argue that we should start to see some modest price increases by this time next year. Mortgages are hovering at historic lows, in the 4% range. Add that to the mix, and it would seem that the most affordable time to jump into the housing market is now.

If home prices stabilized but did not increase over the next three years, would you be comfortable with the investment?

Whether you invest in stocks, pork bellies, or real estate, most professionals encourage the individual investor to take a long term view and not be too concerned about daily results. In real estate, while there is no market indicator to follow, there can be press releases every few days with contradictory results based on different locations. The importance of each bit of data can be confusing. Past long term performance of real estate as an investment indicates you should see a small rise in your home’s value over that period. But even if prices stay level, by making your monthly mortgage payments you will have been building equity in the property and you will have been reaping tax benefits from being a homeowner. You will not have been stuffing your money into someone else’s bank account! There are several online calculators to help you compare the economic advantage of buying over renting. I link to a particularly good one at www.rentorbuybaltimore.com.

Did you know that home ownership has been the largest source of individual wealth in American history?

Its true, and there have been many studies that quantified it over time. Buying a home is the largest monetary transaction that most people ever experience, and its the growth in equity in their home that provides the average American’s greatest source of personal net worth. As we move through the 21st Century, with retirement programs in jeopardy, home ownership and that source of wealth will become even more important in determining a retiree’s quality of life after leaving their jobs.

Would having professional assistance make you feel more comfortable in going through this evaluation process?

While most people buy and sell homes only a few times in their lives, professional Realtors® guide their clients through many such transactions every year. We can help you avoid some of the most common pitfalls, and represent your interests through the intense negotiations that can sometimes take place to deal with important issues. We can also recommend ethical, competent professionals to build a team — mortgage officers, title officers, home inspectors, and more — to make sure you have the best people working on your behalf.

However you decide to proceed in 2012, I hope you have a wonderful year and that its the first of many.

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Investment, or Ball and Chain?

Recent poll results on the attitude of younger Americans toward real estate and home ownership have raised questions as to exactly what the role of real estate is and will be in the future. Is owning your own home an investment and source of wealth, or is it a ‘ball and chain’ that locks you to a locale and saps money that — if invested in stocks — would appreciate faster than real estate?

This question seems to outline the two most common opinions emerging in the generation of potential homeowners now between the ages of 21 and 35, where most of our first-time homebuyers tend to be. Here are the primary arguments laid out on both sides of that question.

Ball and Chain
If you’ve been watching the housing market in the last few years, you certainly can see where someone would come up with this notion. Many people feel locked into their current home, current city, even current state because they can’t sell their home to move to a new job or a better performing region of the country. Some homeowners are paying mortgages that were based on a sale price substantially higher than the house is currently worth. There are even economists who are predicting that with the economy evolving into a digital one, it will be more important than ever for the workforce to remain fluid, easily relocatable, and that buying property that can’t be loaded onto a truck and moved (like a house) doesn’t make sense in the future.

There is no doubt that the effects of the Great Recession are still felt most sharply in the housing sector. Most experts agree that it will take another year or two for the excesses of the housing bubble to work through the system and for the housing market to begin to resemble a “normal” market that responds in the ways that it has in less troubled times. Certainly, these are fresh reminders that there is no such thing as a “safe” investment, and that every one has to learn to live with a certain amount of risk.

Source of Wealth
The data over time gives a great deal of support to the idea that owning a home is one of the greatest sources of wealth, and wealth building, in the United States. The National Association of Realtors did a study on Housing Wealth Effects in 2004, which looked at the difference between household wealth for owners and renters in the period between 1984 and 1999. Since this does not include the period of the housing bubble, its results can be seen as closer to the average return you might expect over normal times. The study concluded that “a typical renter household in 1984 had accumulated $42,000 in net wealth by 1999, but a typical owner household in 1984 had accumulated $167,000 over the same period. Marital status, age, race and ethnicity, initial wealth and household income … accounted for only $20,000 of the net $125,000 accumulated wealth difference.”

That $105,000 difference is, almost without exception, due to home equity from both paying down the balance of the mortgage and the appreciation of the value of the property over time. The Case-Schiller Index of home prices shows that from 1987 to 2009 the price of existing homes increased by an average of 3.4% annually. This period includes the bubble, but also the crash from 2007-2009. Since most bank accounts yield considerably less in annual interest, that figure doesn’t look too bad as a way to grow your money. Yale University’s Robert Shiller has calculated that, in the period from 1950 to 2009, the S&P 500 yielded a real price change of 3.3% annually — surprisingly close to the appreciation in housing.

There’s one more point in housing’s favor: with government-backed mortgage insurance programs, the opportunity to invest in a home is much more open to people of average means. Few bankers are going to lend the average person $100,000 to invest in the stock market. But, average people purchase homes every day by taking out FHA mortgages that require only 3.5% downpayment. These programs open up long term investing through real estate to working and middle-class Americans in ways that don’t exist for the stock market. Its not a get-rich-quick scheme, but studies have proven that it works.

Housing’s Future
This will continue to work for a new generation of homeowners, but only if Congress allows Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and the Federal Housing Administration to continue to offer the type of government-backed mortgages and mortgage insurance that have made home-buying money available to people of average means with good credit. Without that support, the 3.5% mortgage downpayment programs will surely disappear. Mortgages will most likely be available only to borrowers who have between 10-20% of the purchase price in their savings, because private lenders will be unwilling to take the risk of underwriting 96.5% of the purchase price without government support. By making home ownership less available, a generation of workers will have the greatest avenue of building private wealth cut off from them. What will that America be like?

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Rent vs. Buy

For the last few years, there’s been a real decision for consumers, especially younger consumers who might never have owned a home before, as to whether it made economic sense to buy a home. Home prices have generally fallen all over the country since 2006 or 2007, depending on your region, and many buyers decided that the possibility of buying a house as it was losing value was too scary from their perspective. Some consumers who were homeowners and had to move for their job sold their home and rented in their new city.

The Rent vs. Buy contest is now beginning to tilt back toward the Buy side in many areas. Trulia, the well-known real estate website, publishes a Rent vs. Buy Index every three months. On that list, they rank the fifty largest metro areas in the country, based on a ratio comparing the costs of home ownership with the average cost to rent. In their First Quarter 2011 Index, thirty-six of the fifty regions qualified for the “Much Less Expensive to Buy than to Rent” classification, including Baltimore (#11) and Washington (#13).

Renting a home in this region has gotten comparatively more expensive in the last few years as vacancy rates have declined and landlords have enjoyed stiff competition for their properties. But there are also several reasons why now may be the best time in many years to consider purchasing a home.

1. Prices in the greater Baltimore-Washington region have begun to stabilize. Especially on the Washington DC end of the region, as prices in the District have actually increased 8% in the last two years. One of the biggest advantages Baltimore had in the last decade was its affordability when compared to Washington. If prices have begun to rise in DC, Baltimore will once again start to look like the bargain it still is (even with much publicized commuter rail problems between the two cities).

2. Interest rates have started to rise, and are about .5% higher than at their low point last fall. We’ve been hearing about how interest rates have tumbled to low points not seen in fifty years, and while they continued to fall or held steady, there was no motivation to buy. In fact, many buyers watched falling home prices and decided to wait, no matter what the interest rates were doing. But now, with prices starting to stabilize and interest rates actually rising again, we may be at the most affordable point in the cycle.

3. Interest rates are predicted to be yet another 1% higher by the end of 2011. For an idea of what that might mean to a potential buyer, I used one of my own current listings and calculated the principal and interest payment that would be available today to a qualified buyer, and then did the same calculation adding 1% to the interest rate. With everything else staying the same, the mortgage payment went up by about 5%. On a $1,500 a month payment at today’s rate, that means the buyer will pay another $900 every year just on principal and interest on their loan.

To me, that says it may be time to get off the rent bandwagon and start looking to cash in on the bargains that the housing crisis has created.

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Hope for 2011

There are quite a few good signs that 2011 will be a better year for real estate, and the economy in general, than was 2010. If you’re one of the many potential buyers that are holding back, waiting for some positive signs that the worst is over, then I hope you’ll find what you’re looking for right here.

1. Improving employment picture.
While the Baltimore and Maryland economies have fared better than the overall national picture, there have been some very encouraging signs nationally. For the last few weeks of December, initial jobless claims fell to levels not seen for several years, and the January employment report actually dropped the unemployment rate by a tenth of a point. Every prediction from economists has pointed to a slow, steady improvement through this year and these figures would confirm that is actually taking shape.

2. Consumer spending is increasing. The holiday shopping season was better than most retailers expected, and recent figures on the number of new automobiles being sold gives added strength to the fact that Americans are coming back to the marketplace and buying big ticket items. When consumer spending increases, businesses feel more comfortable adding inventory, placing orders, and restocking shelves, which has a positive ripple effect down the supply chain. Jobs result. Even sales of existing housing went up in December, and as an unscientific measure, my colleagues and I saw an increase in the number of people out looking, coming by open houses and setting up appointments with their agents.

3. Interest rates remain near historic lows. The cost of borrowing money is an important factor in determining how many people can afford to be in the housing market in the first place, and for the last few months mortgage interest rates have been cheap. Homeowners can refinance into 15 year mortgages for under 4%, while new 30 year mortgages have remained under 5%. As spring approaches, however, rates always tend to increase, so its not clear that these bargains will be available for much longer.

4. Housing prices have fallen dramatically. Along with the cheap cost of mortgage money, this increases the number of potential buyers who can qualify for a home purchase. With more buyers looking, and home sales beginning to pick up, its most likely that prices will stabilize and not fall much farther.

5. The Washington DC housing market has already stabilized and started to show price increases. Washington was one of only four metro areas in the country to show housing increasing in price in December. In the last decade, more and more homebuyers have been priced out of the DC market and have turned to Baltimore as a potential place to live. In fact, if the 2010 census shows that Baltimore has gained population (which many believe it will), that result can be attributed to the increase in Washington commuter traffic between the two cities.

So, if the DC market has improved and started to rise, can Baltimore be far behind?

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Working Through the Distress

Every real estate agent I know is thankful that 2010 is nearly over. When the year began there was a lot of hope that the housing market would begin to recover by year’s end, and the Federal Homebuyer Tax Credit was stirring people to buy — boosting that hope.

But when that credit expired, hopes for the recovery began to expire as well. One of the hottest summers in memory kept people inside, and the economic news kept us all sweating. Late summer and early autumn sales numbers retreated back to levels that were equal to the worst of the housing slump.

Never mind that housing prices continued to fall and started to look like good values again, or that mortgage interest rates had fallen to levels that hadn’t been seen since our grandparents had been buying homes. No amount of good news could convince the buying public that it was time to make a purchase.

One of the most important trends of 2010 is only now beginning to become plain: the huge number of properties in distress — either 90+ days late on the mortgage, listed as a short sale, in pre-foreclosure, or actually foreclosed upon and bank-owned — was creating a large “shadow inventory” of homes that lenders were not listing for sale because buyers were not absorbing the distressed properties that already were on the market.

There are a couple of sources for this information. In late November, CoreLogic released a report on the large increase in the “shadow inventory” in 2010. As of August, there were 2.1 million units of housing classified as being in that shadowy group, up more than 10% from the previous year. When added to the 4.2 million “visible” units currently for sale, that constitutes a distressed property glut that isn’t moving. According to CoreLogic’s report, Maryland has a two-year supply of such distressed properties; the figure for Baltimore-Towson is only slightly better, with an 18-month supply.

While the sharp and rapid rise in the number of properties included in this category is alarming, at the same time overall sales figures were falling, and the proportion of distressed homes within the number being sold also fell. According to the National Association of Realtors’ 2010 Homebuyer Survey, only four percent of buyers purchased a home that would be categorized as “distressed.” Nearly 40% of those buyers did not even consider a distressed property among their home choices. Of the remaining 60% who at least considered such a home, one-third decided against it because the process of dealing with the lender as seller was too difficult or complex. One-fourth decided against it because the house was in poor condition; the remaining buyers just couldn’t find a distressed property that they liked.

What does this mean? Different professionals will come to different conclusions about this data, all of which was just released at the end of November, but here are two things that I believe are clear:

1. Buyers are learning that purchasing a distressed property, especially a short sale, is not easy and the vast majority of them are opting not to do so. Since half of all homebuyers in 2010 were first-time homebuyers, it might be that the uncertainty of how long it will take to settle such properties makes them impractical. While these first-time buyers don’t have a home to sell, they do have a landlord who requires a set amount of notice to get out of their lease — give notice too soon, they might become homeless; give notice too late, and they might be required to pay extra rent. If lenders want to make these distressed properties more attractive to these buyers they have to standardize the short sale process and get it done in a predictable amount of time.

2. Lenders may have to hold back millions of dollars worth of ‘shadow inventory’ well into the future. That means maintaining these properties in liveable condition for an extended period of time. Most lenders are NOT good at this. While they want to get their money back on these properties, they cannot flood the market with them all at once. Not only will that drive down the price on the properties for sale, it will also drive down the values on the neighboring properties, putting more homeowners “under water” and destabilizing the neighborhood. Since that lender may also hold the mortgages on a significant number of properties in the vicinity, flooding the market with bank-owned properties just drives down the values of the rest of their investment portfolio. So, while they won’t like the idea of holding on to these properties, self-interest will demand that they do.

There are many indicators that actually give hope for a much better 2011. I’ll cover those in January’s post.

I hope all of my readers have a peaceful holiday season, and best wishes for a prosperous new year!

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The Summertime Blues

2010 has been a challenge to the real estate market, not only because of the mortgage foreclosure crisis, the up-and-down recession, and the crisis in consumer confidence. Its also had some of the most extreme weather we’ve seen in a generation. How is that a challenge to the market?

Well, think about it… when the area was blanketed by back-to-back blizzards and many city streets were nearly impassable for two weeks, who could go out and show property? There are still damaged gutters and dormers scattered throughout the city’s neighborhoods. If the winter wasn’t bad enough, we’ve now had 40+ days this summer where the afternoon temperatures reached 90 degrees or more — many of them over 100 degrees. People stay inside when the heat is that oppressive and don’t go out and look at property.

Its a shame that buyers are letting the summer pass them by. Prices in the Baltimore area are still declining in many neighborhoods, and according to June statistics, Baltimore was one of only two major metro areas where prices had not stabilized or even started back up. Also, mortgage rates have declined to the lowest level that we’ve seen since 1971, when records were first kept on that statistic. So with prices declining and mortgage money cheap, why aren’t more buyers scooping up bargains?

Knowing the Score
A report came out this month that gave one possible reason. The economic troubles that we’ve been experiencing in this country have lowered significantly the average credit score. FICO, Inc., the company that calculates your credit score by combining data from the three large credit monitoring companies, announced that now 25.5% of consumers have a credit score of 599 or below. Before the recession, that figure generally averaged about 15%. That means that the great terms and historically low rates we’ve been seeing on the news are now unavailable to over a quarter of the population. Some analysts expect that before we truly recover from this recession that figure will rise to nearly one-third.

This is the segment of the population that, in the past, had to rely primarily on sub-prime mortgages to be able to get into the housing market. That area of lending has pretty much dried up in the last couple of years. Wells Fargo, currently the nation’s largest mortgage lender, made news this month by completely shutting down its sub-prime lending division and laying off over 3,000 employees. But although sub-prime now has a bad smell attached to it, remember that was primarily because of the way that Wall Street and large financial institutions had cut up, combined and re-packaged sub-prime mortgages into investment securities that weren’t at all clear on the level of risk they carried. Sub-prime lending had existed as a viable, profitable product for years before this recent mess started.

It doesn’t make sense that the housing market will ever regain robust health while we are content to tell 25-30% of the population that they are not able to own a home. If you are thinking of buying your own home, its important that you find out what your FICO score is, and how that will affect your status as a borrower. There are steps you can take to mend a low credit score, and a qualified mortgage officer or any of the local homebuyer counseling agencies can help you get started down that road.

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Its May 1st: Okay, Now What?

Nobody can tell you for sure what happens on May 1. No, that’s not the day on the Mayan calendar when the world is supposed to end. That’s still two years away, so you can relax (a little!) about that.

May 1 happens to be the day after the Federal tax credit expires for home purchases. As a Realtor, I’ve paid a great deal of attention to the various predictions — because its my livelihood — but it has great implications for the health of the financial sector, for the economy in general, and for how quickly the country can climb back out of the hole created by the Bush Administration and the Great Recession. Most pundits I’ve heard or listened to seem to think that the housing market will slow down again, but they seem to divide into two camps based on their reasons.

Borrowing Buyers

The first group of gloomy pundits advance the idea that because of the tax breaks, we’ve been borrowing buyers from the future; sucking them into the process sooner, rather than later, and so after April 30 we will have a vacuum of buyers for some length of time. This is the group of people who felt that the automobile program, “Cash for Clunkers,” would do exactly the same thing for the auto market — cause buyers to jump in before they were planning on it. Now, if you look at the recent auto sales and the current stock prices of Ford and GM, you’ll see that simply didn’t happen.

It won’t happen with the housing market, either. Homebuyers do not buy homes on a whim. Its a major investment and it can’t be rushed. This has been true especially because the IRS refused to bow to pressure to make the tax credit available to buyers at the settlement table. That meant the buyer had to have their own cash in hand, qualify for the financing to buy, pay all the normal expenses, and then wait for the tax rebate later. I can’t say that I know of anyone who suddenly decided to accelerate their homebuying schedule because of the government program. I believe the tax credit did coax out buyers who had been on the sidelines for the previous three years, watching home prices slide, and who then — like savvy investors — were poised to come out and land a bargain.

Unhappy Rabbits

The second group of gloomy pundits might be compared to Marilyn Monroe in All About Eve, when she surveys a room and asks, “Why do they all look like unhappy rabbits?” This group believe that homebuyers are skittish, and as soon as the tax credit disappears, they will all hop back to their rabbit holes and hide.

The latest economic data says otherwise. March consumer spending rose much more than expected, consumer confidence is rising, and the stock market exudes the robust energy that led Newsweek to declare on their cover that “America is Back.” Now, we still have major problems to overcome: unemployment needs to come down, a second wave of foreclosures needs to be effectively softened by Federal programs to help homeowners stay in their homes, and who knows what else might be lurking around the corner. However, I am already working with buyers who knew from the beginning that they would not be able to qualify for the tax credit, and they are buying on their schedule, not the government’s.

Pundits in the early 1990s predicted that the recession we were experiencing then would be long, and deep. They predicted that the entire decade would be swallowed up by slow economic growth and higher than normal unemployment. They were wrong, totally and completely, and the Nineties turned out to be one of the most prosperous decades in our history.

I have no reason to think that today’s pundits are any more qualified or accurate as fortune tellers. So, what can I do for you today?

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Podcast: Four Things You Need to Know

Home buyers, especially first time buyers, need to break away from the confusion of the daily news cycle about real estate. Here’s a longer range view.

For a transcript of this podcast, please email me at info@charmcityrealestate.com.

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Four Things You Need to Know Today

Real estate news is saturating the business media lately, because so many people realize that the health of the real estate market is crucial to the nation’s economic recovery. The problem is the news can be confusing. One day you hear that foreclosure activity was down (which is good) but still much higher than one year ago (which is bad). The next day you hear that pending sales for last month were down (which is bad) but much better than one year ago (which is good). So, what do these confusing news reports do to your attitude if you are thinking about taking advantage of the $8,000 tax credit and buying a home this spring? Are you choosing to focus on the good news or the bad news?

Well, here are four items that are not getting a lot of coverage. Taken together, these four facts should leave no doubt in your mind that this is possibly the best time to buy real estate in at least a generation.

1. Prices are down, and in many areas are still falling — although more slowly than last year. If you’re a buyer of real estate in this market, you are definitely seeing lots of inventory and you’re seeing it at lower prices than you are accustomed to. The fact that the rate of decline is slowing means we’re near or at the bottom, and in some areas prices are actually stabilizing and beginning to make very small advances. Generally speaking, your dollar buys you more house now than at any time in the last five years, and it might not get any better than this.

2. Interest rates are at historic lows. The cost of borrowing the money you need to buy your home is incredibly affordable right now. And the fact that we can actually say both of these things at the same time is itself historic. In the last fifty years we’ve had many periods of time where either prices were low or rates were low, but its nearly unheard of to be able to say both at the same time. So, not only does your dollar buy more house, the interest you’ll pay on that dollar is very cheap by historical standards.

So, we have these two incredible opportunities existing — three, counting the $8,000 tax credit available until the end of April. But, I hear you ask, “How can we be sure that this situation won’t go on for awhile?” That’s where the last two of my four facts come into play.

3. Interest rates won’t stay this low for long. Most economists agree that when the economy starts to gain real steam, fear of inflation and the national debt will force the Federal Reserve to increase its interest rates to banks, who will then pass that increase along to consumers. We could be looking at substantial increases over time, which will leave you kicking yourself for not acting while the cost of borrowing money was so low.

4. Statistics point to a potential housing shortage in a few years. There are a couple of things at work here. First, new home builders have cut way back on their building to “ride out” the recession. It will take awhile for them to get construction back underway and lay out and design new housing developments once they see buyers coming back to their model homes. Second, there is a new wave of homeowners beginning to search: the “echo boomers,” or the children of the Baby Boom generation. This generation is estimated to be 50% larger than the original Baby Boom itself, and they are now roughly in the 18-31 age range: prime first-time homebuying years. Basic supply and demand will rule the day: housing will be in short supply and prices will rise.

There you have four very good reasons to step back from the day to day news cycle and take a long view about home ownership. So, what can I do for you today?

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Explaining the New Housing Tax Credit

I recently asked Richard Pazornik of SunTrust, one of my recommended loan officers, to sit down and walk through a Question and Answer session with me so that we could fully explain the new 2010 housing credit for homebuyers. As you probably know, the initial tax credit from 2008 was beefed up in mid 2009 when Congress increased the amount of the credit and stopped requiring that it be paid back over time. That program was supposed to expire at the end of November, 2009.  But last Fall, the housing and mortgage industries pushed to have the credit extended.  For a while, Congress seemed to be willing to let the credit expire, which would have had a devastating impact on the housing market which was struggling to stand up again.

Fortunately, Congress and the President were eventually persuaded that extending the credit was in the best interest of the economic recovery.

W: So would you go over how the tax credit works?

R: For first-time homebuyers, which means someone who hasn’t owned a home in the last three years, you’ll get that same $8,000 tax credit if you sign a contract to buy a home before midnight April 30th, 2010 and you have to go to settlement before midnight June 30th, 2010.  Hopefully, we will be very busy those two days!

The new Tax Credit also sets a maximum income at $125,000 for a single person and $225,000 for a married couple.  Above those limits, the credit is phased out.

W: Now, Congress has expanded the credit to “move-up” buyers. What does that mean?

R: A “move up” buyer can now get a tax credit of $6,500, if they’ve lived in their home continuously for 5 of the last 8 years as their primary residence.
The same income limits and phase outs apply to move up buyers as applied to first-time homebuyers.

W: Can someone buy any house on the market?

R: They can buy any house as their primary home so long as it’s priced less than $800,000.  So here in Baltimore, this covers about 96% or more of all the homes listed in the Multiple Listing Service.

The government sweetened the deal by allowing taxpayers to go back and amend their prior year tax returns to claim the tax credit quicker and if your above the income limits in 2010, go back an look at your 2009 income, you might be better off!

W: What’s the difference between a Tax Credit and a Tax Deduction?

R: Well, a tax credit is a lot better than a tax deduction.  A credit is a dollar for dollar reduction of your tax bill and a tax deduction only saves you a portion of the amount based upon your actual tax rate.  Now, I wouldn’t turn either down, but I’d much rather have an $8,000 tax credit than an $8,000 tax deduction.  And here’s why, if you’re in a 20% tax bracket an $8,000 deduction would save you $1,600 in taxes but the $8,000 tax credit actually saves you $8,000 in taxes.   That’s why this credit is so good! But, there’s a warning I need to give.  If you sell the house within three years then you must repay the $8,000.

W: So, let’s say I’m a regular wage-earner who has taxes deducted from my pay. How would this tax credit work?

R: It means your tax bill is actually decreased by $8,000.  So for example, if you had $5,000 deducted from your salary for your Federal Income taxes and your tax bill computed to be $2,000, normally, you would’ve received a refund of $3,000.  But, if you sign a contract to buy a house before April 30, 2010 and it settles before June 30, 2010, when you file your taxes in April of 2011, you’ll not only receive the refund of $3,000, but you’ll also get an additional tax credit of $8,000 making your total refund $11,000.

W: That’s a nice piece of change! So what is your overall impression of this new program?

R: Overall, I’m thrilled that the Homebuyer Tax Credit was extended and expanded and here are the 3 keys to remember;

  • Income, $125k single, or  $225k couple
  • Home Price, $800000 or less, and
  • Contract, signed by April 30, 2010 for settlement by June 30, 2010.
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