Charm City Baltimore Real Estate: Baltimore, Maryland Real Estate & Homes

Nearly everyone is aware by now that the recent recession and financial crisis began in the real estate and banking sectors. As a result, these businesses have been greatly altered and more heavily regulated by both state and federal agencies. The process of financing a real estate purchase has changed compared to ten years ago. Technology and internet business has continued to evolve and change the way real estate brokers do business, too.

So, if you plan on selling a home this year, or if you plan on buying a new home — or both — here is a brief overview of the changes in the industry from what you may have experienced in the past, or what you have heard from others:

1. There are fewer Realtors in business. The massive influx of new, inexperienced agents chasing “easy money” that took place during the boom has reversed. The number of real estate agents currently in the business is down significantly from the peak. In most cases, the most experienced people have survived because they had developed skills for assisting buyers and sellers in all kinds of economic conditions. This shrinking of the professional work force has also meant that many of the large real estate brokerages have closed some of their offices, and in their place a different broker may have opened a branch office, or a new ‘mom-and-pop’ company may have started up. For a buyer, its still the skill of the individual agent that has the biggest impact on your transaction, but if you are looking to sell a home, the size and reach of the broker you choose may have an impact on how broad an audience your listing will reach.

2. Expenses have increased. Inflation has not gone away, so while prices were going down on homes, everything else was getting more expensive. Flat-fee commissions have gone up, the price of signs, ads, etc. has increased, as have the expenses of just running a business. The seller still provides the cash that makes the transaction work, from paying agent commissions to the growing need for subsidies to buyers to pay closing costs.

3. The market has stabilized. 2012 will go down as the year that most marketplaces began to grow again. Inventory of unsold homes has been absorbed and many buyers are out there waiting for the right home to be listed. However, that doesn’t mean that prices will start to zoom upward. The equity that sellers had in 2004 has shrunk significantly, so be sure to have a reasonable expectation for your bottom line. Buyers need to realize that homes in good condition that are priced well may actually sell at list price. Trying to drive a “hard bargain” may get you a firm “no, thanks.”

4. Technology has continued to put more information in the public’s hands. Whether buying or selling, today’s consumer has unprecedented access to listing information, community information, and tax information, which means that the average buyer does a great deal more research on their own than ever before. However, some of that information is outdated, wrong, or even intentionally fraudulent. They are contacting a Realtor later in the process than ever before and not getting the quality consumer education they did in years past.

5. Loan originators are more heavily regulated. While there were definite abuses during the boom years, the pendulum may have swung too far to the other extreme at this point in the recovery. Mortgage lenders are pickier and require more documentation than ever before. More loan programs are requiring time-consuming mortgage counseling. Bottom line: expect more paperwork, multiple requests for updated versions of the same documentation you provided last month, and the deals that used to close in four weeks now will almost certainly need six.

6. Appraisers are more isolated from the transaction. Some of the new regulation involves separating appraisers from lenders and agents who might apply pressure to have the property valued at a certain level, if for no other reason than to help the sale close. More properties are not appraising at the contract price, and its harder to appeal a value that does not meet the sale price.

The housing market is healing, but its a work in progress. Prices overall are still the most reasonable they have been in years, and mortgage interest rates are still at historic lows. If you are considering a real estate transaction, contact a professional and let us help you avoid the pitfalls of the new marketplace.

Walk around any weekend festival in Baltimore this summer and you will overhear conversations that sound as if they first took place on the National Mall. Is Baltimore being invaded by outsiders? Not exactly… but over the last decade many Washingtonians decided that Baltimore was a better place to set down roots and call home. These ex-Washingtonians considered Baltimore an attractive alternative because it was affordable, had a great quality of life, and reasonable commute times. Today, even after years of housing distress in both cities, those factors still hold true. As Washington home prices have begun creeping higher again, Baltimore still offers home ownership to many people who are priced out of the District.

I asked two past clients to share with me how they feel about their decision to buy in Baltimore. Each couple has lived in Baltimore for over five years, and has one partner who makes the commute to DC.

Nick and Tim bought a renovated rowhouse in Fells Point, one of Baltimore’s Inner Harbor neighborhoods. “When we moved here six years ago, our intention was to be within walking distance of coffee shops, restaurants and entertainment. We were attracted to the city’s vitality,” writes Nick.

Ten years ago, Martin and his partner bought and renovated an 1840s townhouse in the mid-town neighborhood of Mount Vernon. He agrees with Nick about the quality of life: “A lot of my favorite things to do are within a 10-minute walk from home: The Walters Art Museum, the Sunday farmer’s market, and restaurants serving Indian, Nepali, French, Thai, Italian, Mexican, and American food.” Martin is also an avid cyclist. “It is very easy to get to northern Baltimore County where the roads and scenery are fantastic for bicycling!”

Was downtown DC an option? “We simply could never have afforded a place like this in DC,” Nick responds. “The cost of homes in Baltimore is probably one-third that of DC.” Martin concurs. “We certainly wouldn’t be able to maintain the same standard of living in DC. Who knows where we’d end up if we had to relocate; probably not in DC at all.”

What about the commute? Martin commutes daily to Washington. “My house is a 10-minute walk from Penn Station, so the Baltimore side of the commute is pretty easy. From Union Station I take the Metro and then walk another 10 minutes to my office.” But, this cyclist has taken advantage of another option, “This April I have started riding my bike to work: Mondays and Thursdays I ride from Baltimore to DC and take the MARC back, and on Tuesdays and Fridays I take MARC down and bike back to Baltimore at the end of the day. Wednesday is a rest day. Believe it or not, the bike route is pretty nice. Although it takes longer, I get my workout in so that I don’t have to go to the gym over lunch or on the weekends.”

“Tim works for the DC Fire Department, but he has an unusual schedule. He doesn’t have a Monday through Friday commute,” writes Nick, who drives about twenty minutes to his job in Anne Arundel County. “The beauty of city living is that once you get home, you seldom drive.”

When DC-based friends visit, what do they think of Baltimore? “When our friends visit and we show them ‘our Baltimore,’ they’re pleasantly surprised,” Nick says. “They admit they had the wrong impression and usually go away liking the city. In fact, sometimes they’ll call us and ask, ‘What was the name of that restaurant?’ or ‘Where was that museum?’ so they can bring their friends to enjoy Baltimore as well.”

“People who visit us from DC,” Martin begins, “are usually surprised by how unlike DC Baltimore is. Baltimore is the older city; it’s less transient; it has a commercial and industrial vibe which DC never did have. A lot of visitors say Baltimore feels more ‘real’ than DC.”

So, if you are a DC resident visiting Baltimore on a sunny Saturday, be prepared for pleasant surprises. We’ll welcome you with open arms! Enjoy our hospitality and get to know our city. You might want to start calling it ‘home,’ hon.

Recent poll results on the attitude of younger Americans toward real estate and home ownership have raised questions as to exactly what the role of real estate is and will be in the future. Is owning your own home an investment and source of wealth, or is it a ‘ball and chain’ that locks you to a locale and saps money that — if invested in stocks — would appreciate faster than real estate?

This question seems to outline the two most common opinions emerging in the generation of potential homeowners now between the ages of 21 and 35, where most of our first-time homebuyers tend to be. Here are the primary arguments laid out on both sides of that question.

Ball and Chain
If you’ve been watching the housing market in the last few years, you certainly can see where someone would come up with this notion. Many people feel locked into their current home, current city, even current state because they can’t sell their home to move to a new job or a better performing region of the country. Some homeowners are paying mortgages that were based on a sale price substantially higher than the house is currently worth. There are even economists who are predicting that with the economy evolving into a digital one, it will be more important than ever for the workforce to remain fluid, easily relocatable, and that buying property that can’t be loaded onto a truck and moved (like a house) doesn’t make sense in the future.

There is no doubt that the effects of the Great Recession are still felt most sharply in the housing sector. Most experts agree that it will take another year or two for the excesses of the housing bubble to work through the system and for the housing market to begin to resemble a “normal” market that responds in the ways that it has in less troubled times. Certainly, these are fresh reminders that there is no such thing as a “safe” investment, and that every one has to learn to live with a certain amount of risk.

Source of Wealth
The data over time gives a great deal of support to the idea that owning a home is one of the greatest sources of wealth, and wealth building, in the United States. The National Association of Realtors did a study on Housing Wealth Effects in 2004, which looked at the difference between household wealth for owners and renters in the period between 1984 and 1999. Since this does not include the period of the housing bubble, its results can be seen as closer to the average return you might expect over normal times. The study concluded that “a typical renter household in 1984 had accumulated $42,000 in net wealth by 1999, but a typical owner household in 1984 had accumulated $167,000 over the same period. Marital status, age, race and ethnicity, initial wealth and household income … accounted for only $20,000 of the net $125,000 accumulated wealth difference.”

That $105,000 difference is, almost without exception, due to home equity from both paying down the balance of the mortgage and the appreciation of the value of the property over time. The Case-Schiller Index of home prices shows that from 1987 to 2009 the price of existing homes increased by an average of 3.4% annually. This period includes the bubble, but also the crash from 2007-2009. Since most bank accounts yield considerably less in annual interest, that figure doesn’t look too bad as a way to grow your money. Yale University’s Robert Shiller has calculated that, in the period from 1950 to 2009, the S&P 500 yielded a real price change of 3.3% annually — surprisingly close to the appreciation in housing.

There’s one more point in housing’s favor: with government-backed mortgage insurance programs, the opportunity to invest in a home is much more open to people of average means. Few bankers are going to lend the average person $100,000 to invest in the stock market. But, average people purchase homes every day by taking out FHA mortgages that require only 3.5% downpayment. These programs open up long term investing through real estate to working and middle-class Americans in ways that don’t exist for the stock market. Its not a get-rich-quick scheme, but studies have proven that it works.

Housing’s Future
This will continue to work for a new generation of homeowners, but only if Congress allows Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and the Federal Housing Administration to continue to offer the type of government-backed mortgages and mortgage insurance that have made home-buying money available to people of average means with good credit. Without that support, the 3.5% mortgage downpayment programs will surely disappear. Mortgages will most likely be available only to borrowers who have between 10-20% of the purchase price in their savings, because private lenders will be unwilling to take the risk of underwriting 96.5% of the purchase price without government support. By making home ownership less available, a generation of workers will have the greatest avenue of building private wealth cut off from them. What will that America be like?

The internet has certainly revolutionized the way that people shop for real estate. It has also made it much more likely that inaccurate, out-of-date, and even fraudulent information makes it into your inbox. Here’s a primer for the homebuyer in the Internet age.

The MLS
Before the Internet was born, listings were literally kept in a book — available at each real estate office — containing the listings that office’s agents were presenting to the public. Searching for a home meant a lot of driving around looking for signs, visiting offices to look at the listing books, and a reliance upon the agent knowing what was available that met your criteria.

Once the Internet was widely available, the real estate industry was one of the earliest players and multiple listing services quickly got their member brokers to agree to make everyone’s listings available to the general public. Brokers also wanted to make the MLS available on their own websites, and so an Internet Data Exchange agreement let the number of sites who carried listing data multiply quickly. National search sites, such as REMAX.com and Realtor.com, started to bring together listing data from all across the country. Others came up with the idea to offer computerized property evaluation services, and another group of sites let customers who had visited certain properties blog about their impressions of it, so that the next buyers who came along could read about the property’s weaknesses and strengths without stepping foot inside it themselves. The modern Internet is bulging at its virtual seams with real estate related data of all kinds.

Buyer Beware
The problem is that some of that information is garbage. While many sites are great at importing new data, old data sits around long after its useful. Buyers I work with will often come to me with questions about a property they found on one website, but not on another. When I investigate on the MLS directly, I’ll find that the property isn’t actually for sale. Sometimes it was withdrawn, or the listing expired, months ago. In one recent case, the property had been sold two years earlier!

Another major source of inaccurate information are the property evaluation websites. Several recent studies have found large margins of error in these computerized estimates of value. On the largest of these sites, their zesty evaluations were routinely off by over 7%, and you had a one in eleven chance that your estimate would be off by a whopping 25% or more. Now, if your house is worth $200,000, a 7% routine error equals $14,000!

The newest trend in real estate sites are the blogging sites where, in theory, you learn details about properties that the bloggers have visited. However, there are no methods to prove that these visits actually took place, or that the blogger might not actually be the seller of a competing property down the block who went online to trash the competition.

The Solution
The best way to make sure you do not use wrong information in your home search is to ask your real estate professional for the sites that offer data of the highest integrity. In my practice, the sites I recommend are all ones that I know import information on a daily basis directly from our MLS and routinely remove listings that are sold, withdrawn and expired, such as the two largest national sites I’ve mentioned above, Realtor.com and REMAX.com. If you’re looking primarily for local data, then the best site is HomesDatabase.com.

A new service from our local MLS offers even better data, however. Many local real estate agents have subscribed to Listingbook, which taps directly into the very same MLS data that agents themselves use. I’ve been making this available to my buyers for about six months, with great satisfaction. Data is refreshed every 15 minutes, and the interface is intuitive and flexible. You’ll find many links here on www.charmcityrealestate.com that will allow you to open your own search using Listingbook. (Including that one!)

As we begin the last month of the year, I wanted to review where we stand in the real estate world, both nationally and in Maryland. 2010 will be a critical year for many of us, not only for those involved with property, but for the economy in general.

We’re certainly better off in this holiday season than we were a year ago. At the end of 2008 the country felt like a roller coaster car speeding down the tallest slope with no brake and nobody at the switch. Right now, 2009 looks like the turning point, with the economy beginning its long climb up the next hill, real estate stabilizing and just in need of a little push to get back on the track. But there are several issues looming for next year which will really determine how things go for the forseeable future. Here are a few lumps of coal for your stocking:

• A recent Washington Post article quoted a national survey by the Mortgage Bankers Association which found that more than 14 percent of borrowers were in trouble on their mortgage. That translates into 7.4 million households either currently delinquent or in the foreclosure process, the highest level this particular survey has ever recorded. That means we have not seen the peak of foreclosures — and with unemployment continuing to rise the numbers will only get worse.
• The Baltimore Sun, again using information from the Mortgage Bankers Association, reported that in Maryland roughly 10 percent of homeowners deemed good credit risks were in trouble with their mortgage. We’re not talking subprime mortgages here, the widely known source of the financial troubles, but prime borrowers. Again, blame rising unemployment which has destabilized the family budgets of people who have had a history of prudent financial management. In round numbers, this adds 77,000 homeowners to the list of those at least one month behind on their payments.
• Recent widely reported gains in regional home sales and a decrease in the housing inventory seems to be coming from short sales and foreclosures going under contract (and not necessarily going to settlement). From my anecdotal sources, traffic on regular owner-occupied listings — where a bank is not involved — is practically non-existent. This means that unless you’re in distress and buyers smell blood, they aren’t interested in seeing your listing. And, as we saw in the last item, there could be 77,000 more properties on that distressed list that we have to work through next spring.
• Most of our buyers, especially first time homebuyers,  in the last year have used FHA loans because they had the least stringent requirements for credit score and money down, and allowed more generous assistance from Sellers. So while the extension of the tax credits until the end of June, 2010 is a wonderful thing, it seems to be coming with a simultaneous tightening of credit from the FHA. The Washington Post reports that new FHA guidelines currently under development will raise the amount of money required from buyers — from 3.5% of the purchase price to 5% of purchase price — while cutting the allowed Seller contribution in half (from 6% to 3%). Not only will this shrink the pool of qualified buyers considerably, the FHA will also raise the capitalization required from lenders who issue FHA insured loans — a move that will most likely cut the number of loans available, if not the number of lenders who will consider issuing them.

Certainly the situation in residential real estate is worrysome as we head into the new year. But it might not be the most dangerous. Many experts are warning that the biggest problem looming on the horizon is in the commercial real estate market, as last week’s potential meltdown at Dubai World illustrated. While that particular sovereign wealth fund made European markets tremble, and we were told that the US market has little exposure to it, there are enough potential problems here at home to make us weak in the knees. Moody’s Investor Services reported last week that it expects the value of US commercial real estate to continue to fall well into 2011. This is on top of losses in this sector which have already totalled 42.9% since the peak in 2007. The total devaluation from the peak may well reach 55% before things begin to turn around.

The determining factor in these losses? Yep, you guessed it… unemployment. With fewer people working, office spaces and commercial spaces don’t need to be as big. Demand for office buildings drops, and fewer companies are growing and demanding more space from their landlords. Also, with more people encouraged to buy homes and get their tax credit, demand for multifamily rental units has also dropped, hurting landlords’ cash flow and making it more difficult for them to keep up on their mortgages.

Now, with all this coal in your stocking, remember you can’t really burn it anymore to lower your heating bills. Global warming, you know. Ho, ho, ho.

First of three podcasts presenting an overview of the material presented at an in-person buyer seminar. In this episode: evaluating and selecting your real estate agent and loan officer.

For a transcript of this podcast, please email me at .

Tweet

Second of three podcasts presenting an overview of the material presented at an in-person buyer seminar. In this episode: searching for the right home and writing the offer to purchase.

For a transcript of this podcast, please email me at .

Tweet

Last of three podcasts presenting an overview of the material presented at an in-person buyer seminar. In this episode: the period between contract signing and settlement day.

For a transcript of this podcast, please email me at .

Tweet

First in the Mortgage Financing series of podcasts. In this edition, guest podcaster Richard Pazornik of SunTrust Mortgage talks about the loan application process, how to prepare for it, and what to expect.

For a transcript of this podcast, please email me at .

Tweet

Second in the Mortgage Financing series of podcasts. In this edition, guest podcaster Tom Latta of Prosperity Mortgage talks about the choice of loan product, downpayment options, and other sources for financial assistance.

For a transcript of this podcast, please email me at .

Tweet