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The Best of Both Worlds

Northeast Baltimore has the quiet, green streets of a well-established suburb, but all with the convenient location you’d expect from a city address. This single-family Cape Cod has had all of its mechanical systems recently replaced, with the added upgrade of Central Air Conditioning. The Master Bedroom Suite has been renovated and a private full bath added with dressing area. Relax downstairs in the den in a comfy chair and your favorite TV program, or on the private deck in your shady back yard. Park several cars in the private drive, and wonder how all those other people survive in crowded city housing!

Bedrooms: 3
Bathrooms: 2

Listed at $198,900


This property has a WalkScore ranking of 60 (Somewhat Walkable).
Click here for more information and the location of local resources.

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Growing Condo Concerns

Everyone has read or heard of the problems in the housing market. But most of the news articles and commentary have focused solely on the single family home situation, whether townhouse or detached. The economic recession and foreclosures have created significant problems for condominium owners and buyers that have not been as widely publicized. So if you own a condo, or think you might like to, you should pay attention to these issues before you want to sell or buy.

Condominiums became popular as the price of owning a single family home grew, giving first-time buyers an option to become homeowners. Owning an apartment in a larger building, however, brings a secondary player into the process: the condominium association. The association is in charge of caring for the building itself, for the benefit of each individual unit owner. When a buyer goes to their bank to buy a condo, the bank not only has to approve the buyer for the loan, they also have to look at the condo association to make sure that its being well run, and is doing a good job of looking out for the property in which the bank will be investing the buyer’s mortgage.

For that reason, lenders and the Federal Housing Administration maintain lists of “approved” condominiums for which they will approve mortgage loans. The criteria for this approval are important, and should be examined by every condominium association Board of Directors and considered — along with their condo bylaws — as an important guideline for their operations. When your association falls off of these approved lists, it becomes much more difficult for your unit owners to sell their homes, which means prices fall and you have a group of unit owners who are not very pleased with your stewardship of their investments.

So, what are these criteria? Here are some of the items that can severely jeopardize your association’s ability to be approved:

• pending litigation against the condo association, or by the association against the builder/developer.
• 15% or more of the owners being delinquent on their condo fees, even by just one month.
• a high percentage of investor-owned units, or one entity owning more than 10% of the units.
The exact percentage varies, depending upon the type of loan or the lender, but in general terms
an association should keep a watchful eye on the number of investor-owners, and make sure that
the public record is correct as it classifies which units are owner-occupied and which ones are not.
• lack of a reserve fund equal to at least 10% of the annual budget.
• lack of necessary insurance coverage, both property and flood insurance.

If your condo association has issues with any one of these bullet points, it could mean that buyers will have a difficult time getting financing to move into your building, and that your current owners are unable to sell quickly and for the best value.

One other item for condo associations to consider: are your condo fees themselves becoming barriers to buyers? For instance, if a typical buyer interested in your building can afford a total monthly payment of $1,500 — including taxes, condo fees, insurance, principal and interest — they most likely can’t afford to purchase a unit and live in your building if the condo fee is $500 a month. Yet, I’ve seen the number of non-luxury condo buildings in the Baltimore area with condo fees far above $500 per month growing in number, squeezing out the buyers in need of financing that they rely upon to absorb units for sale. With those buyers no longer in the picture, your building now has to rely upon cash-rich buyers and investors as purchasers, prices have to fall to reduce the cost of financing, or the units may go unsold and your current owners move out and rent their property, becoming investor owners. If your condo association hasn’t submitted its subcontractor agreements or management contracts to competitive bidding in a few years, its time to do it. Saving money and lowering condo fees — while still maintaining and caring for the property — will be essential exercises for every condo trustee!

** Richard Pazornik of SunTrust Mortgage provided essential lender information for the writing of this article. He deserves my deepest thanks for sharing his expertise.

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North Baltimore Convenience

When this townhouse is your home, shopping, fine dining (or a quick meal), museums, theatre, concerts, and more are all just a short stroll away. Whether your itinerary includes the newest exhibit at the Baltimore Museum of Art, the String Quartet that’s performing the next Shriver Hall concert, the latest literary sensation at Barnes & Noble, or just a cup of Starbucks Latte, everything is so closeby. And so is the quiet of your backyard garden!

Bedrooms: 3
Bathrooms: 1

Offered at $249,900


This property has a WalkScore ranking of 92 (Very Walkable).
Click here for more information and the location of local resources.

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Explaining the New Housing Tax Credit

I recently asked Richard Pazornik of SunTrust, one of my recommended loan officers, to sit down and walk through a Question and Answer session with me so that we could fully explain the new 2010 housing credit for homebuyers. As you probably know, the initial tax credit from 2008 was beefed up in mid 2009 when Congress increased the amount of the credit and stopped requiring that it be paid back over time. That program was supposed to expire at the end of November, 2009.  But last Fall, the housing and mortgage industries pushed to have the credit extended.  For a while, Congress seemed to be willing to let the credit expire, which would have had a devastating impact on the housing market which was struggling to stand up again.

Fortunately, Congress and the President were eventually persuaded that extending the credit was in the best interest of the economic recovery.

W: So would you go over how the tax credit works?

R: For first-time homebuyers, which means someone who hasn’t owned a home in the last three years, you’ll get that same $8,000 tax credit if you sign a contract to buy a home before midnight April 30th, 2010 and you have to go to settlement before midnight June 30th, 2010.  Hopefully, we will be very busy those two days!

The new Tax Credit also sets a maximum income at $125,000 for a single person and $225,000 for a married couple.  Above those limits, the credit is phased out.

W: Now, Congress has expanded the credit to “move-up” buyers. What does that mean?

R: A “move up” buyer can now get a tax credit of $6,500, if they’ve lived in their home continuously for 5 of the last 8 years as their primary residence.
The same income limits and phase outs apply to move up buyers as applied to first-time homebuyers.

W: Can someone buy any house on the market?

R: They can buy any house as their primary home so long as it’s priced less than $800,000.  So here in Baltimore, this covers about 96% or more of all the homes listed in the Multiple Listing Service.

The government sweetened the deal by allowing taxpayers to go back and amend their prior year tax returns to claim the tax credit quicker and if your above the income limits in 2010, go back an look at your 2009 income, you might be better off!

W: What’s the difference between a Tax Credit and a Tax Deduction?

R: Well, a tax credit is a lot better than a tax deduction.  A credit is a dollar for dollar reduction of your tax bill and a tax deduction only saves you a portion of the amount based upon your actual tax rate.  Now, I wouldn’t turn either down, but I’d much rather have an $8,000 tax credit than an $8,000 tax deduction.  And here’s why, if you’re in a 20% tax bracket an $8,000 deduction would save you $1,600 in taxes but the $8,000 tax credit actually saves you $8,000 in taxes.   That’s why this credit is so good! But, there’s a warning I need to give.  If you sell the house within three years then you must repay the $8,000.

W: So, let’s say I’m a regular wage-earner who has taxes deducted from my pay. How would this tax credit work?

R: It means your tax bill is actually decreased by $8,000.  So for example, if you had $5,000 deducted from your salary for your Federal Income taxes and your tax bill computed to be $2,000, normally, you would’ve received a refund of $3,000.  But, if you sign a contract to buy a house before April 30, 2010 and it settles before June 30, 2010, when you file your taxes in April of 2011, you’ll not only receive the refund of $3,000, but you’ll also get an additional tax credit of $8,000 making your total refund $11,000.

W: That’s a nice piece of change! So what is your overall impression of this new program?

R: Overall, I’m thrilled that the Homebuyer Tax Credit was extended and expanded and here are the 3 keys to remember;

  • Income, $125k single, or  $225k couple
  • Home Price, $800000 or less, and
  • Contract, signed by April 30, 2010 for settlement by June 30, 2010.
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Stocking Stuffers

As we begin the last month of the year, I wanted to review where we stand in the real estate world, both nationally and in Maryland. 2010 will be a critical year for many of us, not only for those involved with property, but for the economy in general.

We’re certainly better off in this holiday season than we were a year ago. At the end of 2008 the country felt like a roller coaster car speeding down the tallest slope with no brake and nobody at the switch. Right now, 2009 looks like the turning point, with the economy beginning its long climb up the next hill, real estate stabilizing and just in need of a little push to get back on the track. But there are several issues looming for next year which will really determine how things go for the forseeable future. Here are a few lumps of coal for your stocking:

  • A recent Washington Post article quoted a national survey by the Mortgage Bankers Association which found that more than 14 percent of borrowers were in trouble on their mortgage. That translates into 7.4 million households either currently delinquent or in the foreclosure process, the highest level this particular survey has ever recorded. That means we have not seen the peak of foreclosures — and with unemployment continuing to rise the numbers will only get worse.
  • The Baltimore Sun, again using information from the Mortgage Bankers Association, reported that in Maryland roughly 10 percent of homeowners deemed good credit risks were in trouble with their mortgage. We’re not talking subprime mortgages here, the widely known source of the financial troubles, but prime borrowers. Again, blame rising unemployment which has destabilized the family budgets of people who have had a history of prudent financial management. In round numbers, this adds 77,000 homeowners to the list of those at least one month behind on their payments.
  • Recent widely reported gains in regional home sales and a decrease in the housing inventory seems to be coming from short sales and foreclosures going under contract (and not necessarily going to settlement). From my anecdotal sources, traffic on regular owner-occupied listings — where a bank is not involved — is practically non-existent. This means that unless you’re in distress and buyers smell blood, they aren’t interested in seeing your listing. And, as we saw in the last item, there could be 77,000 more properties on that distressed list that we have to work through next spring.
  • Most of our buyers, especially first time homebuyers,  in the last year have used FHA loans because they had the least stringent requirements for credit score and money down, and allowed more generous assistance from Sellers. So while the extension of the tax credits until the end of June, 2010 is a wonderful thing, it seems to be coming with a simultaneous tightening of credit from the FHA. The Washington Post reports that new FHA guidelines currently under development will raise the amount of money required from buyers — from 3.5% of the purchase price to 5% of purchase price — while cutting the allowed Seller contribution in half (from 6% to 3%). Not only will this shrink the pool of qualified buyers considerably, the FHA will also raise the capitalization required from lenders who issue FHA insured loans — a move that will most likely cut the number of loans available, if not the number of lenders who will consider issuing them.

Certainly the situation in residential real estate is worrysome as we head into the new year. But it might not be the most dangerous. Many experts are warning that the biggest problem looming on the horizon is in the commercial real estate market, as last week’s potential meltdown at Dubai World illustrated. While that particular sovereign wealth fund made European markets tremble, and we were told that the US market has little exposure to it, there are enough potential problems here at home to make us weak in the knees. Moody’s Investor Services reported last week that it expects the value of US commercial real estate to continue to fall well into 2011. This is on top of losses in this sector which have already totalled 42.9% since the peak in 2007. The total devaluation from the peak may well reach 55% before things begin to turn around.

The determining factor in these losses? Yep, you guessed it… unemployment. With fewer people working, office spaces and commercial spaces don’t need to be as big. Demand for office buildings drops, and fewer companies are growing and demanding more space from their landlords. Also, with more people encouraged to buy homes and get their tax credit, demand for multifamily rental units has also dropped, hurting landlords’ cash flow and making it more difficult for them to keep up on their mortgages.

Now, with all this coal in your stocking, remember you can’t really burn it anymore to lower your heating bills. Global warming, you know. Ho, ho, ho.

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Dog Days Not So Bad

This is the time of year when people just sit inside during the dog days of a southern summer. High humidity, hot temperatures, and a city where not everything is air-conditioned all combine to slow down real estate activity. Even in good years, beach vacations and summer camps tend to slow down every business, and ours is no exception.

But this year is not so bad. That’s an incredibly good sign, given the market slump we’re coming out of. Federal homebuyer incentives are encouraging traffic through listings, and a wary sense of confidence that things are slowly getting better are having an overdue good effect. Cross your fingers that the fall market, which usually starts about Labor Day, will come roaring back.

I’d write more, but its just too hot. ;)

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At the Bottom?

More and more real estate professionals are chiming in that they believe we are at or near the bottom of this housing downturn. Last week Standard & Poors’ economist Karl Case (he of the S&P/Case-Shiller Index of US Housing Prices infamy) noted cause for optimism. In a paper he presented before the Brookings Institution, he noted that of the 20 metropolitan areas covered by the Case-Shiller Index, nine have shown improvement in pricing in recent months. This gives him some hope that price stabilization is coming sooner rather than later (which is what his famous counterpart, Robert Shiller, is predicting).

Who is right in this battle of opinions can make a huge difference to the American economy. If Professor Case is correct and we are at or near the bottom, losses in mortgage foreclosures should stabilize somewhere around $500 billion. If prices come down another 10% that can boost the total losses in the mortgage fiasco to nearly $650 billion, which could have a significantly more serious effect on the national gross domestic product and the continued sick health of lending institutions. We need to hope that Professor Case got first billing for some substantial reason, and that he turns out to be correct.

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Overdue Mortgages Grow

Several publications have reported disturbing trends, which may offer some insight as to why the Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac bailout has now taken place. The Saturday, September 6 issues of both the Baltimore Sun and Wall Street Journal reported an increase in late payments and foreclosure proceedings for PRIME loans, not the sub-prime loans that started this crisis rolling. It is this weakening of the payment record of borrowers previously considered A-paper — strong, qualified loans — that is the most troubling development. It also gives a sense of why the government felt it important to reorganize the two GSEs now rather than later.

The Journal reported that the worst states in the nation continue to be Florida and California, along with Nevada and Ohio. Second tier problem states included Maine, Rhode Island, Michigan, Indiana, Illinois and Arizona. All of these states had rates of foreclosures above the national average of 2.75%. The Mortgage Bankers Association reported that nationwide,  among mortgages on one-four family homes, over 9% were at least 30 days overdue or in the foreclosure process, up from 6.25% a year earlier. It was also the highest level since the Association started collecting figures 39 years ago.

Maryland, while not among the most troubled states, still has growing issues. Among these same “strong” borrowers, while we are among the states at or below the 2.75% rate of loans in foreclosure, the rate goes up to 4.3% when you include those who were at least 30 days late in their payment, according to the Sun.

Maryland looks worse when you turn to look at the sub-prime loans. According to the figures complied by the Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond (whose district includes Maryland), 5.84% of owner-occupied homes have sub-prime loans. Of those households, a troubling 10.55% are either in foreclosure or have already been foreclosed upon, and those houses are now sitting on the market for sale. Within the state, Prince George’s County is identified by the Fed as having the worst foreclosure problem. Other secondary foreclosure clusters pop up in sections of Baltimore City.

Fortunately there are blurbs of good news. On September 9th’s edition of PBS’ Nightly Business Report, the CEO of Coldwell Banker Real Estate confirmed nationwide what I reported a few days ago from my own experience — activity in the last few weeks has picked up in real estate offices around the country. With the bailout of Fannie and Freddie expected to make mortgages more affordable and hopefully easier to obtain, at least for a few months, we should be able to work out of some of the excess inventory and stabilize home prices. Not a moment too soon.

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Signs of Hope

Most Realtors I’m in contact with on a regular basis here in Baltimore are seeing some positive signs as we head into autumn. August has been the busiest month this year, perhaps in the last several years. The phone is ringing, buyers are beginning to come back to the marketplace, and a few are even writing contracts. August, even in good years, can be slow because of family vacations and of the heat — who wants to see houses when its 95 degrees with 80% humidity in Baltimore? But this year, that didn’t stop people.

And in mid-August, the large new-homebuilder — Toll Brothers, Inc. — publicly released statistics that were some of the most hopeful we’ve seen in two years. Their quarterly guidance talked about a declining rate of cancellations, and signs of “growing pent-up demand” from people who have delayed buying while the market was crashing and financial institutions were imploding. (Wall Street Journal, August 14)

We’re not out of the woods yet, as today’s continued bad news from Freddie and Fannie clearly remind us, but its nice to see both local and national signs that we *may* finally be bottoming out.

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Et tu, Alan?

You have to feel sorry for Ben Bernanke… He finds himself in the unenviable position of following one of the most well-known and (still) respected Fed Chairmen in the history of the organization. But you especially have to sympathize when the aforementioned Wise Old Man criticizes you in public.

A recent headline in the Wall Street Journal — page one, above the fold — said it all. “Greenspan Sees Bottom in Housing, Criticizes Bailout.” Ouch.

Now, I’m pleased that someone of Mr. Greenspan’s reputation sees the end of this coming in the next few months — actually sometime in the first half of 2009. (I think Baltimore is in the process of seeing it now, but that’s just my opinion.)

The real knife in the back came later in the article where Mr. Greenspan takes issue with the entire Fed-backed, Treasury-backed bailout of Bear Stearns and Freddie and Fannie. The two mortgage giants, the Government Sponsored Entities (GSEs) Fredde Mac and Fannie Mae, should have been nationalized, he argues. Shareholders should have been wiped out, assets taken over, and their function split up into as many as ten separate entities and then sold off to individual investors.

Ya know, at this point, I don’t think that TOTAL reliance on the private marketplace would reassure ANYONE. After all… wasn’t it the private marketplace that got us IN to this mess in the beginning?

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